Recent interest in biofuels has led
to the development and use of models and computational tools at multiple scales
including large-scale crop models, detailed chemical process design
simulations, life cycle assessment models, and mathematical optimization tools.
While these computational methods each provide unique and novel insights into
the sustainability of emerging biofuels, these tools are often used in
isolation and thus are limited in their ability for guiding decision-making.
Synthesis of these models and tools
into a unified framework, via collaboration between researchers across
disciplines and modeling scales is required to provide a broader understanding
of the sustainability of emerging biomass-to-fuel supply chains. Accordingly, a
modular multi-scale and multi-objective framework spanning from the field/lab
scale, to the detailed process scale, the life cycle scale, and finally the
ecosystems scale for holistic sustainability assessment of biofuel production
are needed.
The envisioned multi-scale approach
evaluates the process in a hierarchical fashion, starting from the field/lab
scale and expanding the system boundaries as successive scales are added.
Information from lab/field trials such as reactor kinetic studies, pilot-scale
biomass growth trials, and experimental trials on biofuel yields are used to
parameterize design blocks and crop models used at the process level.
Information such as liquid product distribution and operating plant utility
requirements obtained via the process level is subsequently utilized to model
unit processes in the supply chain. Information at the supply chain is coupled
with the larger economy and ecosystems via the use of environmentally extended
economic models.
This multi-scale interdisciplinary
approach provides stakeholders different tiers of decision-making criteria (i.e., capital and
operating costs, environmental damages, or ecological impacts), and thus a
holistic understanding of the broader consequences of emerging fuel pathways.
Further, such an approach is conceptually attractive since it facilitates the
evaluation procedure starting with simple systems and increasing complexity
gradually as successive information layers are added.
Such an approach can allow for
screening out bad alternatives, for example, those with a negative economic
potential early in the design stage thus saving computational time and
providing a range of alternatives to the decision maker while avoiding
arbitrary combinations. Further, the proposed framework considers
multi-objective optimization over the broader superstructure to identify supply
chain configurations that optimize ecological and economic performance while
simultaneous achieving minimum threshold sustainability criteria.
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